Who will win the 2009 royal rumble match?

The winner of the royal rumble is usually an established main eventer now so morrison and shelton are taken out. And i also think the next winner will be someone who hasnt won it so taker hbk and orton are out so its down between edge and Y2J my guess would be jericho if edge gets a long title reign this year but if edge doesnt i want edge to win and this is how he drops the title to punk then has a feud that doesnt revolve around the title with someone like morrison and hes more than likely going to take some time off so around unforgiven have him take time off and dont hype up his return and have him be a surprise entrant in the rumble but have him be one of the first ones like 3 or 4 if he does that he will more than likely get cheers instead of boos so if he wins you can turn him face. Oh yeah if kurt angle comes back to wwe later i will put my money on him